SHOPSMART AUTOS – CUSTOMER INFORMATION – OCTOBER 25, 2021 –PT -1
This report helps automotive suppliers inform their legal and operational decisions to help address challenges and opportunities.Key Developments
U.S. new light vehicle sales in September
fell to an estimated SAAR of 12 million units to 12.2 million units, representing the lowest sales pace since May 2020.
Full-year 2021 U.S. new light vehicle sales
are forecast at
just under 15 million units
, down from a previous projection of
15.7 million units
by LMC Automotive, with the impact of
low new vehicle inventory
on sales now expected to persist until late 2022 or early 2023.
U.S. fleet sales
reached an estimated 1.3 million units for January – September,
41% lower than for the same period in 2019
and just 3% higher compared to the same period in 2020.
IHS Markit
estimates that
global light vehicle production has lost 7.4 million units
through the third quarter of this year, with Ford and GM experiencing the most significant production disruptions as a result of the chip shortage.
Lead times for semiconductor orders
increased to an average of 21.7 weeks in September, rising for the ninth consecutive month.- The
Geneva International Motor Show
will postpone its annual event from March 2022 until 2023, due to coronavirus-related challenges.
GM
plans to double revenue to $280 billion by 2030, with growth supported by new EV models, as well as business lines including Cruise, BrightDrop, and software services.
Electric vehicles and low emissions technology
:
Stellantis
will invest $229 million to retool three Indiana plants to build eight-speed transmissions that can be used in electrified and internal combustion vehicles.
GM
will establish a new battery research & development center at its Warren Tech Center. Construction of the
Wallace Battery Cell Innovation Center
is scheduled to be completed in mid-2022.
Lithium prices
have more than doubled in the past year, and global lithium demand is projected to increase five-fold by 2030.
Tesla
will move its corporate headquarters from Palo Alto, California to Austin, Texas. CEO Elon Musk said the company will continue to expand in California, with the goal to increase output by 50%.
Market Trends and Regulatory
- Manufacturers continue to face the challenge of
soaring steel prices
,
with average spot prices more than tripling in the past year.
Global supply chain constraints
are expected to persist “well into next year” and may impede economic recovery. Ongoing issues include shortages of components and labor, high prices for freight and raw materials, and bottlenecks resulting from countries experiencing lockdowns and coronavirus-related restrictions.- Efforts by the
Biden administration
to collect semiconductor supply chain data are being met by concern from global chipmakers. The companies were asked to voluntarily disclose information by November 8 about inventories, backlogs, delivery time, procurement practices, and key customers.
North American Class 8 truck orders
declined 10.9% in September, compared with a year earlier
,
as manufacturers struggle to balance pent-up demand with supply chain constraints.
China
’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology indicated that it will implement assessment measures to
regulate data sent abroad by vehicles,
but did not provide details for how the assessments would be conducted.
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